Chiatura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 4
TEL
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
FTK
1 - 2
CHI
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAP
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
GAG
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOR
28%
26%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
4 - 2
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WIT
3 - 0
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
LIA
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
0 - 1
SAM
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |