Chiatura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 0
CHI
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
ADE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 5
CHI
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHK
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
LAZ
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SAB
1 - 1
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ADE
3 - 2
SAM
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 1
SAM
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |