Chiatura vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
STU
3 - 3
CHI
38%
23%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAB
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SUL
2 - 3
CHI
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
KOL
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
LOK
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 2
BAK
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 2
BET
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
DBA
5 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
6 - 2
SAM
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |