David Kipiani Cup Last 16
Global 0-6
Chiatura vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
STU
47%
22%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DIN
4 - 2
CHI
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
BET
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IME
1 - 0
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
SKU
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 1
GAG
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
1 - 0
GUR
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GAG
5 - 0
RAC
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |