Chiatura vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+375%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
GUR
4 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
MES
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
CHI
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
GAG
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
STU
47%
22%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MES
1 - 4
GAG
20%
24%
57%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
3 - 0
STU
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
GAG
19%
23%
59%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
GAG
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
GAG
4 - 0
SKU
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |