Chiatura vs Bakhmaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
4 - 1
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
BET
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
DBA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
STU
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAK
0 - 2
LOK
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BAK
2 - 2
MAT
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
BAK
2 - 3
BET
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
DBA
7 - 0
BAK
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
BAK
1 - 1
SAM
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |