Chiasso vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 3
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 4
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAD
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
BAD
1 - 4
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 2
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 0
SCH
42%
24%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIN
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MEY
2 - 3
WIN
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |