Chiasso vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
VEV
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
BUL
1 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
FCA
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAS
18%
25%
58%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SER
3 - 0
FCL
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
FCA
2 - 6
SER
26%
22%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SER
1 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
BUL
3 - 6
SER
11%
23%
66%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SER
2 - 1
GCZ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |