Chiasso vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
SER
4 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
CHI
1 - 1
NEX
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
CHI
1 - 1
YOB
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
NOB
0 - 0
STG
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
ZUR
5 - 1
NOB
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 2
CSC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
YOB
2 - 2
NOB
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
SIO
2 - 1
NOB
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |