Chiasso vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GCZ
4 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 0
STG
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
CHI
0 - 3
NEX
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
CSC
3 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 0
YOB
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
NOB
1 - 2
LAU
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
BAS
1 - 1
NOB
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ZUR
5 - 0
NOB
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
NOB
1 - 2
SIO
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SER
4 - 0
NOB
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |