Chiasso vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
LAC
3 - 1
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCV
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 4
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CHI
7 - 1
WOH
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
LUG
0 - 0
LOC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
LUG
21%
24%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 2
MEY
80%
15%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LUG
3 - 4
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
FCV
2 - 0
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |