Chiasso vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
NEX
2 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
WOH
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
LAU
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
2 - 0
LAU
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SER
2 - 0
LOC
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DEL
1 - 1
LOC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 2
FCV
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |