Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 1
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
STA
2 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
SIO
2 - 2
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
FCA
4 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
5 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |