Chiasso vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
STG
17%
23%
61%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
WIN
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
ETO
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ETO
2 - 1
KRI
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ETO
1 - 5
LOC
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
ETO
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |