Chiasso vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
STG
3 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
CHI
2 - 0
SCH
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
CHI
1 - 0
FCG
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
WIN
1 - 3
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
CHI
6 - 2
YVE
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
SCH
3 - 0
ETO
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
ETO
0 - 1
STG
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
ETO
2 - 3
YVE
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
KRI
4 - 2
ETO
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
ETO
1 - 4
WIN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |