Chiasso vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 0
CHI
19%
24%
58%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
NEX
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHI
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
WOH
2 - 2
CHI
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
LAU
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DEL
0 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CON
3 - 2
FCV
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |