Chiasso vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
CHI
6 - 0
SCH
32%
26%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 2
CHI
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 3
BUL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
BUL
1 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SIO
1 - 0
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
FCV
5 - 2
BAD
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCV
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
BAD
1 - 0
FCL
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAD
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
YVE
2 - 0
BAD
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |