Chiangrai vs Kamphaeng Phet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
9º
8º
20
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiangrai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MCT
4 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
NMS
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 3
CHI
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
SKW
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PHI
2 - 1
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Kamphaeng Phet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
KAP
0 - 3
MAE
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
KAP
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KAP
0 - 1
NAN
37%
27%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KAP
0 - 0
NMS
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 1
KAP
12%
18%
69%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |