FA Cup 1/256
Global 1-2
Chesterfield vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
WRE
0 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
FYL
1 - 3
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
EAS
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
ALD
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
WRE
0 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WRE
4 - 1
STM
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
WRE
1 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WOK
1 - 1
WRE
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 1
WRE
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |