Chesterfield vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 1
LUT
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
POS
1 - 1
CHE
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 2
PLY
61%
23%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 1
ROT
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
NTT
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
WRE
0 - 0
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
BCF
0 - 0
WRE
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 0
WRE
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
BIR
1 - 3
WRE
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
POS
0 - 1
WRE
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |