EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Chesterfield vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
3 - 2
PNE
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHE
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 1
PLY
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
BOU
1 - 0
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
5 - 2
WYC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
WIG
2 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |