Chesterfield vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
DER
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
CHE
10%
22%
68%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
WAL
37%
27%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
YEO
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 1
AFC
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NOT
3 - 2
WAL
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
DER
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |