Chesterfield vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 3
CHE
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
CHE
6%
13%
81%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DER
0 - 4
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
SHE
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
CHE
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 0
WYC
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
SWI
24%
20%
55%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HIG
2 - 4
SWI
5%
11%
84%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
SWI
4%
10%
85%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 2
SWI
14%
18%
68%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |