Chesterfield vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 3
CAM
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
STE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
YEO
1 - 2
CHE
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
WYC
3 - 2
SWI
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 0
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 2
SWI
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |