Chesterfield vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DAG
2 - 2
CHE
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
BOR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 4
CHE
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 4
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
4 - 1
DOV
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DAG
3 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
4 - 1
CHE
67%
18%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 4
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |