Chesterfield vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 2
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
COV
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
POS
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 3
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
SHE
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
COV
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |