Chesterfield vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 3
LIN
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
SWI
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 3
CAM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
NOT
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOT
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 0
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
NOT
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |