Chesterfield vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
5 - 1
ALD
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 2
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 2
NOT
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
MAC
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRE
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NOT
2 - 1
ALD
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |