Chesterfield vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
DAR
53%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CHE
4 - 1
STF
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DAG
0 - 3
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
WYC
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WRE
1 - 0
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
4 - 2
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 1
NOT
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |