Chesterfield vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
BHA
2 - 2
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 3
QPR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 1
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
REA
0 - 1
CHE
68%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
WRE
2 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 1
SWI
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
NOT
1 - 2
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
WIG
1 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
WYC
3 - 0
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |