Chesterfield vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 4
SWI
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
QPR
3 - 1
CHE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 1
BPO
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 1
BPO
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
WYC
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
NOR
2 - 2
CAM
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |