Chesterfield vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 2
CHE
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHE
34%
24%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 3
YEO
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 1
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
LUT
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STE
2 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |