Chesterfield vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
IPS
3 - 0
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 2
LUT
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2008 |
DRO
2 - 1
CHE
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
GIL
35%
25%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
4 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 1
MOR
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 0
DAR
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |