Chesterfield vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BOU
0 - 3
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 4
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
POR
3 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 2
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
LEY
2 - 0
MIL
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
YEO
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
4 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 0
BUR
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
2 - 0
MIL
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |