FA Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Chesterfield vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
1 - 0
MIL
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHE
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
MID
3 - 3
CHE
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 0
WAT
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 2
GIL
59%
26%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
MID
0 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 0
MID
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
MID
3 - 3
CHE
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1997 |
WHU
0 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 1
MID
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |