Chesterfield vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
EXE
1 - 6
CHE
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
5 - 1
ALD
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GUL
2 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
WRE
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAN
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
STE
3 - 2
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
WOK
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |