Chesterfield vs Man. City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 5
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 3
CHE
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
CHE
6%
13%
81%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Man. City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 1
MCI
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 0
MCI
21%
19%
60%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
MCI
28%
24%
49%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
2 - 0
WBA
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 3
MCI
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |