Chesterfield vs Man. City Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 2
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
EXE
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 2
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
MCI
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 1
MCI
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 2
GIR
13%
21%
67%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BOH
1 - 3
MCI
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |