Chesterfield vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
GUL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
POS
1 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
OLD
4 - 1
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
SWI
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 2
LUT
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 0
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
LUT
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
DON
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |