Chesterfield vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
BPO
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 3
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
LUT
3 - 2
SHW
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
2 - 1
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
3 - 2
BRI
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 3
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |