Chesterfield vs Grimsby Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRO
37%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 1
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 3
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAV
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
BIL
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GBO
3 - 1
MKD
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GBO
1 - 2
RFC
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GBO
1 - 0
LON
53%
20%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 3
GBO
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PLY
1 - 0
GBO
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |