Chesterfield vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 0
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
2 - 4
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 1
GIL
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
2 - 4
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 4
GIL
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |