EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-4
Chesterfield vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
CUM
2 - 4
CHE
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 2
BAR
41%
28%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
NTT
0 - 3
FUL
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
3 - 1
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
5 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
FUL
4 - 1
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 1
FUL
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |