Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SCU
1 - 1
CHE
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 4
WAL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHE
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
BPO
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 2
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 1
WAL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
FLE
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 2
SHE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
GIL
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |