FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Chesterfield vs Droylsden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 1
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHE
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 2
STF
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Droylsden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DRO
2 - 1
TOW
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
2 - 0
DRO
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
DRO
1 - 0
DAR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DRO
2 - 2
RED
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
SOL
2 - 1
DRO
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |