Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
CHE
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHE
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
POS
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
MIL
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
WIG
3 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 2
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 1
WAL
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRE
2 - 0
ROC
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
CRE
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 0
CRE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |