Chesterfield vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
DOR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHE
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHE
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
SOL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUL
1 - 5
CHE
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
COA
0 - 2
NUN
75%
15%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ROY
1 - 1
COA
14%
19%
66%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
NEE
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
COA
4 - 1
MIC
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
HED
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |