Chesterfield vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
HUR
4 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
TRA
2 - 1
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
4 - 0
WYC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 4
COL
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
WYC
0 - 4
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
QPR
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
BPO
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
TRA
3 - 3
CAR
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |