Chesterfield vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
DAG
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
HAR
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 2
CHE
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
PLY
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 3
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 1
YOR
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 2
SCU
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
BCF
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BCF
1 - 1
NOR
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |