Chesterfield vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHE
21%
27%
53%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
LIN
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 0
BAR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 4
BCF
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 0
OXF
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |